Good Afternoon. Did you know that last night was the TGL Finals? Do you even care? Tiger Woods played in it for the first time this season, which is a good sign that we will see him compete on TOUR this year, but the simulator league just isn’t grabbing me. It all feels very forced and fake. Like LIV, there’s enough cash to keep it going for a little while, but eventually it’ll need enough viewership to stand on it’s own.
Anyway, the most notable moment of the night came when Tiger missed a two-foot putt.
LA beat Jupiter, by the way. They did a trophy presentation and everything.
The 7 Biggest Short Game Mistakes Golfers Make
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A Little Golf History For Ya
Has any golfer experienced more Augusta heartbreak than Greg Norman?
Back when we were first starting this newsletter, I made a post about his heartbreaks in 86, 87, and 96. (The video above is from 87, this miss lead to an ill-fated pIayoff). I apologize for the poor design, but I was a novice 3 years ago when I made the post.
Note: After his collapse in 96, Norman missed the cut in 97 and 98, only to be firmly in contention again in 1999. There, he walked off the 13th green tied with Jose Maria Olazaball for the lead. He proceeded to bogey 14 and 15, and Olazaball won. The end.
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Preview & Picks: The Houston Open
The Texas Swing, if you could call it that, really sits in an unfortunate position on the TOUR schedule.
It fits right in between the Florida Swing and The Masters, and as a result, the fields just aren’t that compelling. The Houston Open is usually bolstered by Scottie Scheffler, who likes to compete in his home state, but not this year.
Yesterday, he made a surprise WD, because he and his wife are expecting their second child.
Good news for the Schefflers, and good news for everyone else in the field too. With Scheffler out, the favorites are last years champ, Min Woo Lee, along with Chris Gotterup, Jake Knapp, and Brooks Koepka.
Memorial Park, which Brooks Koepka helped redesign a few years ago, is a bombers course. Notice how all of those betting favorites have that in common?
Field Notes
Putting has been the biggest separator – SG: Putting shows the highest correlation (~0.65), which is notable. On a course where scoring gets low (around -1.1 avg), players who can convert birdie looks and avoid mistakes on the greens tend to separate.
Approach play still matters a lot – SG: Approach is right behind (~0.58 correlation). With a large share of shots coming from 125–200+ yards, strong iron players continue to have a clear edge.
Distance > accuracy off the tee – Driving distance (~0.20) outpaces accuracy (~0.15), suggesting Memorial Park rewards length more than precision. It’s relatively forgiving, so players can lean on power without being overly punished.
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Weekly Bets: Houston Open
We’ve partnered with Keith Stewart at Read The Line to share his weekly golf betting picks with the Caddyshanks crew. If you’re the type who enjoys breaking down matchups, spotting trends, and hunting for value, you’ll feel right at home in the RTL community. Join Here.
Keith Stewart’s Picks
Nicolai Højgaard (+2800 BetMGM)
Here we go again. Nicolai Højgaard ranks eighth in approach, thirty-sixth around the greens, and seventeenth with the putter. He has plenty of ball speed and also sits inside the top 18 for par 3 and par 4 scoring among players in Houston. We're looking for a bomber who can scramble, chip, and putt. Let’s not go beyond one of the Wonder Twins. I’m keeping Nicolai on my card for another week because I believe he can win.
Ryan Fox (+6700 DraftKings)
Ryan Fox is gaining in all aspects of his game over his last six starts. 2026 has been good to the Kiwi, with four top 25s in four PGA TOUR starts this season. Fox is primed to close out another tournament when we find the right fit. Memorial Park’s mid-iron requirement, short game successes, and positive putting skill set match Fox’s player CV. Ryan finished T15 last year in Houston with one bad round. Be sly and grab Foxy further down the odds board.
Caddyshanks Picks
Chris Gotterup (+2050 Draftkings)
With Scheffler out, we’re going back to the well once more with Gotterup. Between him and Cam Young, you’re looking at the two best breakout candidates of the year.
Brooks Koepka (+2500 Draftkings)
The major concern with Brooks right now is his putter, but the rest of his game has been really solid. If he can get the magic wand working, he should be in contention come Sunday.
Aldrich Potgieter (+8000 Draftkings)
The young man is an absolute bomber, and this field feels like it could be one that gives way to a longshot winner. Why not take a flyer?
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Shots Heard Round The World
Deal Of The Day: Rockbottom Golf
Not to sound like a bad commercial, but Rockbottom Golf has so many deals going on right now, it’ll make your head spin.
They’ve got discounts on everything from Apparel, to Clubs, to Shoes and Accessories.
Right now, when you add any item to cart, it’s 20% OFF, but you can also grab shirts like the Adidas one above, for 59% OFF in their clearance section.
That’s A Wrap…
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Until next time,
Caddyshanks team.
